Annual Energy Outlook 2015 with Projections to 2040

US Energy Information Administration
http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/pdf/0383%282015%29.pdf

[From an E&E News PM article by Manuel Quinones, sub. req’d]  Overall U.S. coal use could increase slightly by 2040, despite the ongoing market downturn, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s latest energy outlook.

EIA forecasts roughly 40 gigawatts of coal-fired power plant capacity will retire between 2013 and 2040. And coal’s share of power production will drop from 39 percent to roughly 34 percent. Few, if any, new coal plants will come online.

However, demand from existing plants could help coal use grow from 925 million short tons in 2013 to 988 million short tons in 2040, said EIA.

When it comes to coal production, EIA expects it to increase at an average rate of 0.7 percent every year, from 985 million short tons in 2013 to more than 1 billion short tons in 2040…

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