Assessment of New York City Natural Gas Market Fundamentals and Life Cycle Fuel Emissions

ICF International for New York City Mayor’s Office of Long-Term Planning and Sustainability
http://www.nyc.gov/html/om/pdf/2012/icf_natural_gas_study.pdf

[WNYC] As the state weighs whether to allow hydraulic fracturing, Mayor Michael Bloomberg has come out in favor of the controversial technique — with some regulations — and said Monday that natural gas is important for improving air quality and public health.

The mayor released a study Monday that found that additional gas supply and infrastructure upgrades are needed to meet the city’s growing demand.

“This study confirms its importance to New York City’s reliable, clean energy future and demonstrates that with responsible, well-regulated development, we can make the investments that both improve our air quality and save lives,” Bloomberg said in a statement…

[From executive summary]  …By the end of the forecast period, ICF believes that over 80 percent of the physical gas going to New York City will be shale gas from nearby areas…The City’s phase-out of heavy oil is expected to increase these growth rates ICF’s analysis indicates that the increases stemming from conversions from heavy oil to natural gas, when added to other growth forecast by the LDCs (local distribution companies) will require additional upstream gas supply capacity, including new pipelines, as well as infrastructure improvements within the LDCs’ service territories to meet peak day responsibilities…

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